Michael Chiesa vs. Court McGee Preview, Predictions, and MMA Betting Odds for UFC Atlanta

Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images

At UFC Atlanta on June 14, 2025, Michael Chiesa and Court McGee face off in a welterweight clash that promises to test their veteran sharpness and resilience. For Chiesa, a win could solidify his resurgence, highlighting his relentless grappling and cementing his status as a fan-favorite contender. His UFC and his MMA journey has been marked by thrilling submission victories but also many challenging setbacks, making this fight a pivotal moment to prove that he’s still a force in the UFC.

For McGee, a victory against a seasoned opponent like Chiesa will put him on a winning streak and reconfirm his durability. It could also open doors for him to bigger opportunities in the division. Both fighters have distinct styles but are also similar when it comes to their submission and grappling abilities. The prelim fight at State Farm Arena is a chance for either man to steal the spotlight, elevate their legacy in the division, and get closer to welterweight relevance.

Michael Chiesa vs. Court McGee Preview

Welterweight veterans Michael Chiesa and Court McGee are set to face each other at State Farm Arena. This fight can also be termed as Ultimate Fighter Champions clash as Chiesa is the winner from season 15 and McGee from season 11.

Michael Chiesa (18-7) enters on a two-fight win streak, having submitted Tony Ferguson and Max Griffin in 2024. The 37-year-old thrives on the mat, averaging 3.3 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 48% submission rate and 1.1 submission attempts per fight. His grappling-heavy approach contrasts his below satisfactory 1.81 significant strikes per minute, but his recent finishes make us believe that he’s on the come up again. Chiesa will be fighting in his first 2025 bout and with a win, he can solidify his place in the division.

Court McGee (22-13-0) is 40 years of age, and he recently rebounded from a three-fight losing streak after getting a submission win against Tim Means in October 2024. He has struggled with consistency throughout his UFC career, and so far has not won 3 consecutive fights in his career spanning more than a decade. Surprisingly enough McGee has never won a UFC bout via knockouts, and majority of his wins have come via decisions, showcasing his technicality and patience inside the octagon.

Michael Chiesa vs. Court McGee Betting Odds

According to BetMGM, Michael Chiesa is a -350 favorite to win the fight against the +275 underdog Court McGee. This means that since Chiesa is a -350 favorite, you’d need to bet $350 to get a return of $100 if he wins. And Court McGee, as a +275 underdog, means a $100 bet would return $275 if he pulls off the upset, indicating he’s less likely to win the bout. These odds suggest that Chiesa is the clear favorite to win the fight.

Michael Chiesa vs. Court McGee Predictions and Picks

Michael Chiesa is the favorite to win the fight against Court McGee at UFC Atlanta, Chiesa’s superior grappling, averaging 3.3 takedowns in 15 minutes with a 48% success rate, could exploit McGee’s 25% takedown accuracy and defensive vulnerabilities. His recent submission win over Tony Ferguson and Max showcased his ability to finish his fights on the mat where he holds a clear edge. McGee’s durability and striking output could keep him competitive but his age and defensive striking issues (taking a lot of hits) tilt the fight towards Chiesa.

Official Prediction: Chiesa to win the fight via submission